Your IMPORTANT Weekly Briefing: (27th June 2025)

The Neil McCoy-Ward Newsletter

June 27, 2025

Opening Note…

Welcome back to this week’s newsletter!

Monday was a reminder that in 2025, the unexpected is the new normal. Just when we thought military escalation was imminent, things did a U-turn quickly. Even more intriguing, something unique happened surrounding President Trump’s strike on the Iranian nuclear facilities. We saw a majority of Americans warn against any sort of escalation, with many prominent voices, (the likes of Tucker Carlson), directly urging him against it.

For a few hours, it was no longer a two-party issue. Quickly after the ‘resolution’, we saw things go back to normal. Democrats instantly found a way to sow dissent. This actually plays very well to his advantage, because it is quite easy to predict what his opposition will do. All he has to do is think ahead and have a comeback…

Predictability is a major advantage. Even more so in a world where industries change overnight and the economy hangs in a delicate balance…

Have you ever wondered how successful individuals seem to manage this? Constant pressure, heavy competition, and extremely limited margins of error… Perhaps it sometimes feels like you or your family members are struggling to get by, trying different things but to no avail. Maybe you aren’t sure if you or they are on the right path…

If this sounds familiar, I’d like to help you solve that challenge. In fact, I have an entire program that will provide you with the tools, systems, and mindset transformation necessary to think like the successful.

It’s often not a matter of how hard you work, it’s actually what systems you put into place that determine your results. If you’re looking for that edge that will take your mindset to the next level, then you should really check this out:

The Psychology of Wealth Accumulation, on sale right now for the first time since 2024, 90% off for a limited time:

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Let's now break down the most relevant stories from around the globe...

Table of Contents

1. Weekly Spotlight

After 12 intense days of conflict between Israel and Iran, a fragile ceasefire is now holding. President Trump took to the stage this week to declare the war “over” and announced that direct U.S.–Iran talks are now set for next week. These discussions will centre on Iran’s nuclear program, potentially opening the door for new negotiations.

Ceasefire Details

  • It came into effect June 24th, after each side claimed to have achieved key objectives. 

  • Trump hailed it as a “victory for everybody,” though Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi publicly disputed any formal deal; both sides nonetheless observed a pause. 

  • Some initial violations occurred where both sides launched missiles: Iran launched two missiles at northern Israel; Israel reportedly struck radar sites near Tehran. But broader calm has since held.

  • Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei called the recent U.S. airstrikes a “heavy slap to the U.S.'s face” and he announced the suspension of Iran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) (not that there was much cooperation to begin with).

  • Meanwhile, the Pentagon claimed their strikes had “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capabilities. But leaked intelligence shows the damage may have only delayed Iran’s program by a few months, not dismantled it. This is still being heavily debated as to which intel is more accurate or credible.

This ceasefire could be a turning point, or it could just be a pause before the next escalation. Trust is very thin with tensions high, it will be one to watch as to whether this deal holds or collapses.

2. Quick Takes

Here are the top stories shaping the week:

  • Trump Sues 15 Federal Judges Over Deportation Roadblocks
    In a rare legal move, Donald Trump is suing every federal judge in Maryland, accusing them of unlawfully issuing blanket injunctions that blocked deportations of criminal aliens. The lawsuit challenges what Trump says is an “illegal and unconstitutional obstruction” of immigration enforcement.

  • Argentina’s Economy Outpaces China in Q1 Growth
    Argentina posted faster GDP growth than China in the first quarter of 2025! An unexpected (or expected?) turn for the inflation-stricken nation... Strong exports, currency reforms, and a new fiscal strategy are fuelling what may be a major economic comeback story.

  • Hunter Biden Sued by Law Firm for Over $50K in Unpaid Bills
    Hunter Biden is facing a lawsuit from his own legal team for unpaid bills “substantially in excess of $50,000.” The firm claims Biden ghosted them after years of high-stakes representation in federal cases.

  • “Gold Is Good Money” – Fed Panic Coming
    Former BlackRock manager Ed Dowd warns a deflationary scare could spark a Federal Reserve panic—making the case that gold is the only reliable money left. He predicts rising demand for hard assets as economic confidence erodes.

  • Russia Seizes More Ground in Eastern Ukraine
    Russian troops captured another key town in eastern Ukraine this week. Meanwhile, NATO leaders remain divided on how far to escalate support, raising questions about the alliance’s long-term strategy.

  • Trump: U.S. to Meet with Iran, but Nuclear Deal Is “Unnecessary”
    Trump announced the U.S. will hold talks with Iran next week, but he also declared that “we don’t need a nuclear deal,” signalling a sharp shift from past diplomacy frameworks.

  • New York Set to Become Major U.S. Nuclear Power Hub
    New York is ramping up its nuclear energy ambitions, aiming to lead the U.S. in next-generation nuclear tech. Backed by federal funding, the state could soon host multiple advanced reactors.

  • UK Labour Party Fractures Over Welfare Cuts Bill
    Labour leader Keir Starmer dismissed a brewing party revolt over welfare cuts as “noises off.” The internal conflict reveals growing tension within the party.

  • Britain Gains Access to U.S. Nuclear Gravity Bombs for F-35s
    A Guardian investigation confirms the U.K. will gain access to U.S. B61-12 nuclear gravity bombs through its F-35A jets. The move has major implications for NATO posture, European deterrence, and Anglo-American strategic alignment.

  • UK Job Market Slows as Costs Rise
    The Bank of England reports signs of a cooling job market, with over 100,000 payroll jobs lost in May ALONE and slower private sector wage growth. Firms are reacting to higher National Insurance costs, and rate cuts may be on the table in late 2025 amid stubborn inflation.

  • EU Weighs Response to Trump’s Tariff Threat
    Facing a July 9th deadline, EU leaders are deciding between a fast trade deal with the U.S. or retaliating against Trump’s threat of 50% tariffs on EU exports. Germany and Ireland push for compromise, while Spain voices opposition. Targeted deals on cars and steel are also being considered.

  • Billionaire Exits UK Over Tax Changes
    Shipping magnate John Fredriksen has moved his business from London to the UAE, blasting the UK’s economy and tax policy. The move follows Labour’s end of the non-dom regime, which sparked an outflow of wealthy individuals.

NEIL’S TAKEAWAYS:

In the United States
The Federal Reserve is holding rates steady at 4.5%, but the pressure is mounting. Trump is firing shots at Powell, and the Fed is now signalling possible rate cuts ahead. This is a dangerous balancing act between economic policy and political noise. On top of this, a new projection shows Social Security could be insolvent by 2034—one year earlier than expected. Without action, benefits may get slashed by nearly 20%. Medicare’s hospital fund is also due to run out by 2033. This is SERIOUS.

Research: Watch for a shift in Fed language. If inflation cools slightly, a rate cut may come fast—and markets will react. And for the social security changes, if you're under 50, don’t count on full Social Security. Build your own safety net with real assets and multiple income streams.

Across Europe
The ECB is aggressively easing—8 rate cuts already—while the Fed drags its feet. This growing policy gap is creating tension. Trump’s latest attack on the Fed calls out the U.S. for falling behind Europe in supporting growth. However the progress Europe has made could be halted. We saw how hard it was hit hard by the latest oil price swings. Initially, Brent crude jumped 5% after U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, then dropped 12% over the week—but the volatility isn’t over. If escalation resumes and Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, prices could rocket to $120 a barrel. That would cripple Europe’s fragile recovery.

Prepare: A weaker Euro may temporarily boost exports, but long-term, this divergence spells trouble for currency stability. If you’re holding Euros, hedge carefully and watch Dollar moves. As for oil costs, they are a lead domino; higher energy prices mean inflation returns fast. Lock in energy savings now where possible, and brace for spill over into food and transport. Its always better to play on the side of caution.

On the Global Stage
Argentina posted some good numbers this week. Their first-quarter GDP grew by 5.8% year-on-year—its fastest pace since late 2022. Slightly shy of the 6.1% forecast, but still a strong showing, fuelled by President Milei’s sweeping reforms and ongoing currency stabilisation. Looking ahead, analysts now expect inflation to ease towards 28.6% in 2025, with growth projected around 5.2%. But globally, deflationary pressures are creeping in. Japan’s core CPI fell to 2.2%, raising fresh concerns about slowing demand in Asia. In Europe, falling commodity prices and declining freight rates are pointing to softening global trade.

Meanwhile, gold is once again playing its role as a pressure valve for the global economy. In the first quarter of 2025, central banks purchased over 244 tonnes, led by Turkey, China, and India. Retail appetite is picking up, too, with record inflows into physical gold ETFs and allocated vaulting services. All the currency instability in emerging markets like Egypt, Nigeria, and Argentina has investors turning to hard assets as a safer store of value.

Research: Compare central bank gold purchases. Use sites like the World Gold Council and keep your eye on deflation signals in Asia. It’s a good point to look at how much money is flowing into physical gold products vs. paper assets. The more money going into real physical assets, the more cautious investors are becoming.

3. Important Video of The Week

🚨 Shocking Statistics Reveal The Real Reason Behind Widespread Job Losses… (Hint: It’s NOT Trump’s Tariffs)
 Watch the Full Video On Youtube

4. Chart of the Week

Countries With the Largest Declines in Freedom (2014-2024)

New Survey Results: Over the past decade, we've seen a steep slide in global freedom. Authoritarian leaders have tightened their grip, tweaking constitutions, muzzling the press, and stamping out dissent. There has been a huge surge in protest,s and more often than not, they’ve been crushed with force across several continents. Many of these protests were very legitimate and peaceful.

Places like Nicaragua, which has seen democratic freedoms backslide as autocratic leader Daniel Ortega has overhauled the constitution. In particular, Ortega enabled his wife, Rosaria Murillo, to become co-president under law.

Meanwhile, Ortega can now prosecute media that opposes his views. Even more strikingly, any resident who is considered a traitor can have their citizenship revoked.

Following Nicaragua are Tunisia and El Salvador, each have seen considerable declines in civil liberties. With 1,700 prisoners per 100,000 population, El Salvador has the highest incarceration rate in the world. Although I approve of what happened in El Salvador with the gangs being taken off the streets. When the President was asked about the human rights of these gang members in El Salvador, he answered brilliantly by asking the reporter (and I paraphrase here): “What about the human rights of those who are brutally murdered each day by these gangs?”

Serbia and Türkiye stand as the top two in Europe, with Serbia seeing protests, rigged elections, and the arrest of activists in a deteriorating political climate...

I wonder what those who continue to sound the alarm on “Authoritarian” US government would think after researching these case studies…

5. Market Overview

Markets were mixed this week. In the United States, the S&P 500 rose with tech stocks leading the charge, and easing Middle East tensions helped to temper inflation fears. In the UK, the FTSE 100 was flat, dragged down by underperformance in energy, advertising, and pharmaceuticals. Canada’s TSX Composite saw modest losses, dipping from a weekly high as falling commodity prices put pressure on the index. Over in Australia, the ASX 200 slipped to a three-week low early in the week before recovering slightly as broader Asia-Pacific sentiment stabilized.

🇺🇸 United States – S&P 500

  • High: 6,143.82

  • Low: 5,954.92

🇬🇧 UK - FTSE 100

  • High: 8,825.51

  • Low: 8,715.95

🇨🇦 Canada – TSX Composite

  • High: 26,774.52

  • Low: 26,547.40

🇦🇺 Australia – ASX 200

  • High: 8,605.70

  • Low: 8,514.20

Cryptocurrency:

Trend:
Bitcoin hovered near $106,930, briefly touching above $107,800 earlier in the week before paring gains. It remains volatile but continues attracting capital as a hedge against inflation and currency instability, with Bitcoin dominance climbing above 60%. Ethereum traded around $2,451, showing minor losses as liquidity shifted toward Bitcoin. XRP and BNB posted slight declines, underperforming broader crypto benchmarks. Solana fell approximately 1.2% on the week, hitting a multi-week low before stabilizing.

Metals Market:

Overall Trend: Gold is consolidating near highs, and silver is tracking it closely with stronger swings. Both metals remain strong hedges in this uncertain environment. The Gold to Silver ratio is beginning to shift.

Gold Silver Ratio:

Gold:

Gold rose this week, holding steady around $3,300/oz as falling bond yields and a calmer geopolitical backdrop supported buying. Central banks remain net accumulators, and investors continue to view gold as a hedge against both inflation and systemic risk. With strong year-to-date gains, it remains one of the most reliable stores of value in uncertain times.

Silver:

Silver saw a climb, trading near $36/oz. The gold-silver ratio sits near 90:1, historically this still means that silver ‘may’ be undervalued. If industrial demand grows silver could be poised for a stronger second half of the year. In my new Gold & Silver Advanced course, I go into great detail to show you how to read the ratio and how to make large profits trading gold and silver.

Neil’s Summary:

Most economists believe that central banks will just print their way out of any downturn, avoiding a crash or recession altogether. Yet, others see the warning signs: rising corporate defaults, weakening global trade, and growing consumer stress. The system isn’t stable and when it catches up it’s not going to be pretty. It’s up to you to prepare, and your best bet is to discover real stability before the system reminds you what instability truly feels like. I firmly believe we are in for a bumpy ride ahead. I’m prepared for it, are you?

It can’t hurt to learn as much as you can about tangible assets. These courses also cover several notable crises throughout history, preparing you to make a plan to avoid any sort of turbulence…

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6. Faith & Success

“I have been young, and now am old, yet I have not seen the righteous forsaken or his children begging for bread.” - Psalm 37:25

After today’s livestream and reading the comments of concern over the economy and the staggering number of job losses announced, this was the verse that popped into my head. I hope it brings you comfort should you be worried or concerned about your livelihood. It’s so true; the righteous always get through even the toughest of times, due to their integrity, ethic and faith.

Yet at the same time, I do highly recommend (watching the livestream) & taking the advice contained within. At the very least do the checks I mentioned regarding your job, please don’t bury your head in the sand during this transition period in the workplace.

7. Discounted Course Of The Week: Psychology Of Wealth

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If you want to maximise your results, then you need to get your mindset right. This course is a transformational deep dive, holding nothing back. You’ll walk away with clarity and excitement! Thousands of students have seen the results from this course, don’t just take my word for it - watch/read some of the hundreds of testimonials.

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Closing Thoughts 💬

Although we’re in a transition period right now and deep within the Fourth Turning cycle - it doesn’t have to be BAD for everyone. You have a choice. We all have a choice. But it takes effort. Nothing worth having is ever easy - otherwise, you would already have it. Sometimes it’s about stepping out and taking a small action to move you forward today. The same again tomorrow. Start small and the big things will start to move too over time.

Onward and Upward!

See you next time,

Your Friend,

Neil,

DISCLAIMER
This newsletter is 100% FREE & is designed to help your thinking, not direct it. These newsletters shall NOT be construed as tax, legal, or financial advice and may be outdated or inaccurate; all decisions made as a result of this information are yours alone.

Trading/Liability: Neil McCoy-Ward operates/trades under a private Ltd company within the Isle Of Man.